Transportation operates within larger societal systems—economic, social, and environmental—that intersect to affect the life experiences of people and communities. Yet indicators of transportation performance are too often developed and deployed in isolation. This chapter argues that transportation metrics are best developed with consideration of transportation’s contribution to societal systems’ function as experienced by people. Although transportation is only one component of the systems that lead to outcomes such as improved employment, better education, and improved health and well-being, transportation can be an important point of leverage. Even small changes in transportation infrastructure and services can lead to significant quality-of-life improvements over time. Likewise, lack of investment or suboptimal investment can lead to irreparable community harm.
The chapter begins with a brief description of the evolution of transportation equity concepts and the relationship of transportation equity to environmental justice analysis, which falls under the broader umbrella of equity analysis. The chapter then introduces the causal chain analysis method and proposes a framework, based on causal chain analysis, for transportation practitioners to follow when defining equity metrics. The chapter reviews literature establishing transportation’s role in access to housing, employment, health care, and impacts on environmental justice and public health. The evidence base is useful for identifying indicators and metrics for equity analysis, as illustrated in the chapter, but research employing causal chain analysis could further understanding of how to target transportation investments to produce desired outcomes.
The committee developed a lexicon to define and help distinguish among the terms used in this report (see Box 2-1). Although federal transportation policy and U.S. transportation practice use the terms performance measure and metric, this report uses the term indicator to refer to the higher-level construct to be measured, such as access to employment or exposure to air pollution, and the term metric to refer to the quantitative or qualitative data used to derive the indicator value. An indicator may be specified by more than one metric. The terminology of indicator versus metric is common in many fields such as public health and is also used globally in transportation and sustainable development.1 The report reserves the term performance measure for references to specific policies or other documents that use this specific term.
Transportation equity represents the concept of fairness in policy and practice decisions and in the performance of the transportation system. There are different definitions and ways of thinking about equity, and different situations call for different approaches depending on what is trying to be achieved. Transportation equity is typically considered in terms of distributive principles. These principles articulate how, where, and to whom transportation resources are provided or costs imposed. They also specify how to distinguish population groups from one another and the basis for decisions about the provision of resources or imposing of burdens.2 Distributive equity (or justice, as it is usually framed in the academic literature3) entails normative values
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1 Parrish, R. G. 2016. “Environmental Scan of Existing Domains and Indicators to Inform Development of a New Measurement Framework for Assessing the Health and Vitality of Communities.” Conducted for the National Committee on Vital and Health Statistics, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; World Health Organization (WHO). 2014. “Child Health and Development.” https://www.emro.who.int/child-health/research-and-evaluation/indicators/All-Pages.html. Accessed October 20, 2024; Hezri, A. A., and S. R. Dovers. 2006. “Sustainability Indicators, Policy and Governance: Issues for Ecological Economics.” Ecological Economics 60:86–99; Giles-Corti, B., A. V. Moudon, M. Lowe, D. Adlakha, E. Cerin, and G. Boeing. 2022. “Creating Healthy and Sustainable Cities: What Gets Measured, Gets Done.” The Lancet Global Health 10(6).
2 Martens, K., J. Bastiaanssen, and K. Lucas. 2019. “2 - Measuring Transport Equity: Key Components, Framings and Metrics.” In Measuring Transport Equity, edited by K. Lucas, K. Martens, F. Di Ciommo, and A. Dupont-Kieffer (pp. 13–36). Amsterdam: Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-814818-1.00002-0; Pereira, R. H. M., and A. Karner. 2021. Transportation Equity. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
3 In the academic literature, transportation equity is often treated as synonymous with distributive justice in transportation; the term “justice” in this case refers to ideals of fairness rather than legalistic interpretations of right and wrong (as in the criminal justice system). This report uses the term “transportation equity” but refers to “justice” when it appears in referenced materials.
Equity Indicator or Equity Metric: an indicator or metric used in equity analysis or used to provide the equity component of another type of analysis.
Indicator: the higher-level construct to be measured, such as access to employment or exposure to air pollution.
Metric: the quantitative or qualitative data used to populate the indicator.
Societal Outcome Indicator: measures the outcome for society, where transportation is typically one of many causal factors.
Intermediate Societal Outcome: e.g., increased physical activity or employment.
Long-Term Societal Outcome: e.g., increased health or economic security.
Transportation Input Indicator: measures the resources invested to achieve a transportation objective, such as funding for bicycle infrastructure or an agency staff unit dedicated to community outreach.
Transportation Outcome Indicator: measures the transportation result, such as a shift in mode share to active transportation modes.
Transportation Output Indicator: measures the transportation product or activity, such as miles of protected bicycle lanes.
about what is considered a fair distribution of resources. This type of valuation is usually only implicit in planning and policy. Equity can be considered in terms of geography—whether regions or political constituencies are receiving a fair share of resources—or for individuals and groups. Most of the present-day discussion about transportation equity focuses on individuals or groups, although socioeconomic groups often cluster by geography.
Transportation equity theories are used to define the ideal distribution (equal, equal within groups, needs based, welfare maximizing, etc.), what the resource or object of distribution is (capital or welfare), and whether the focus is on the ends (what is distributed) or the process (how the distribution was determined).4 In addition, some conceptual approaches
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4 Lewis, E. O., D. MacKenzie, and J. Kaminsky. 2021. “Exploring Equity: How Equity Norms Have Been Applied Implicitly and Explicitly in Transportation Research and Practice.” Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives 9(March):100332. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2021.100332.
distinguish between “horizontal” and “vertical” equity.5 Many have argued that providing sufficient access to all groups should be the primary goal of an equity-focused transportation system using a capabilities approach.6 This means understanding of someone’s access is mediated by understanding of the person’s individual characteristics, such as whether someone can use the transportation system as a function of, for example, disability, price relative to income, and freedom from harassment, among others, and how the interaction of the land use and transportation systems enable capability to reach desired destinations.7
Although transportation equity is principally concerned with the distribution of benefits and burdens, broader perspectives may be considered for achieving equity. For example, the concept of mobility justice refers to ways of ensuring that people have the freedom to live, move about, and exchange ideas. In academic literature, elements of mobility justice include distributive justice for access and basic capabilities as described earlier; deliberative justice to recognize individuals and invite them to deliberate and participate in decisions; procedural justice to guarantee meaningful participation in decision making, which includes access to information; restorative justice to acknowledge and repair past harms; and epistemic justice to acknowledge the role of individuals and communities in the production of knowledge and the value of their experiences as important data, including through compensation for their work in producing and sharing those data.8 From a practitioner perspective, mobility justice encompasses specific principles that, when followed, aim to reduce barriers to mobility and access. Such principles include acknowledging and repairing the historic harms imposed by planning, recognizing that identity influences vulnerability in the transportation system, valuing community input as proper data, and co-creating
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5 Litman, T. 2024. “Evaluating Transportation Equity: Guidance for Incorporating Distributional Impacts in Transport Planning.” Victoria Transport Policy Institute. https://www.vtpi.org/equity.pdf. Accessed October 20, 2024.
6 Golub, A., and K. Martens. 2014. “Using Principles of Justice to Assess the Modal Equity of Regional Transportation Plans.” Journal of Transport Geography 41:10–20; Pereira, R. H. M., T. Schwanen, and D. Banister. 2017. “Distributive Justice and Equity in Transportation.” Transport Reviews 37(2):170–191; Boisjoly, G., and A. M. El-Geneidy. 2017. “The Insider: A Planners’ Perspective on Accessibility.” Journal of Transport Geography 64:33–43; Martens, K. 2017. Transport Justice: Designing Fair Transportation Systems. New York: Routledge; Martens, K., and A. Golub. 2021. “A Fair Distribution of Accessibility: Interpreting Civil Rights Regulations for Regional Transportation Plans.” Journal of Planning Education and Research 41(4):425–444.
7 Pereira, R. H. M., T. Schwanen, and D. Banister. 2017. “Distributive Justice and Equity in Transportation.” Transport Reviews 37(2):170–191.
8 Sheller, M. 2018. Mobility Justice: The Politics of Movement in an Age of Extremes. Verso Books.
community processes for decision making, among others.9 Understanding how transportation investment decisions have produced inequities that persist in communities today (as an example, see Box 2-2 for the impact of the highway system on Atlanta, Georgia) is critical to producing a more equitable system in the future.10
Environmental justice analysis, long a part of transportation decision making, falls under the broader umbrella of equity analysis. Environmental justice analysis is rooted in Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, and the Executive Order on “Federal Actions to Address Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations,” signed in 1994. These laws and directives, together with related legislative acts and policies, propelled federal agencies to ensure nondiscrimination in funding and programming based on race, national origin, and income. Federal agencies were required to “collect, maintain, and analyze information assessing and comparing environmental and human health risks borne by populations identified by race, national origin, or income” and to “determine whether their programs, policies, and activities have disproportionately high and adverse human health or environmental effects on minority populations and low-income populations.”11 The U.S. Department of Transportation (USDOT) issued its first environmental justice order in 1997 to implement the directives in the executive order, which has since been amended three times. The principles USDOT established included avoiding, minimizing, or mitigating disproportionately high and adverse health, environmental, social, and economic effects of transportation; ensuring fair and meaningful public participation; and preventing the denial of benefits to minority and low-income groups.12 These principles tailored specifically toward environmental justice reflect an early approach to using equity in transportation planning and programming at the federal level. These same principles apply to those receiving federal funding or requiring federal approval for projects, such as public transit agencies implementing major service changes.
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9 For example, “Untokening 1.0—Principles of Mobility Justice.” November 11, 2017. http://www.untokening.org/updates/2017/11/11/untokening-10-principles-of-mobility-justice. Accessed October 20, 2024.
10 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. Elevating Equity in Transportation Decision Making: Recommendations for Federal Competitive Grant Programs. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/27439.
11 Executive Order (E.O.) 12898. February 11, 1994. https://www.archives.gov/files/federal-register/executive-orders/pdf/12898.pdf. Accessed November 24, 2024.
12 USDOT. n.d. “Environmental Justice Strategy.” https://www.transportation.gov/civil-rights/civil-rights-awareness-enforcement/environmental-justice-strategy. Accessed October 17, 2024.
The Interstate Highway System increased the mobility of people and goods, but its construction has had adverse consequences for low-income communities and communities of color. Bringing the Interstates into the center of cities meant that highways often cut through established neighborhoods. Black neighborhoods or other neighborhoods populated by people of color were not just disproportionately affected, but often intentionally targeted.a These communities lost significant amounts of housing and important cultural institutions, green spaces, and small businesses critical to income and wealth building in segregated communities.b Moreover, the announcement of highway plans drove down property values in communities in proximity to highways, making it difficult for community members to sell or borrow against their homes and businesses.c
Decades later, many neighborhoods severed and isolated by highways also lack good public transportation options and experience limited economic development, which, together with the decentralized and segregated development patterns that increase travel distances to essential destinations, limits access to opportunities and perpetuates cycles of disadvantage.d Residents who remain adjacent to highways experience noise, visual blight, and traffic-related air pollution, particularly from freight traffic.e
In Atlanta, continued segregation, persistent poverty, poor health outcomes, and the largest gap between poor and wealthy among cities with more than 100,000 residentsf are some of the legacies for the region’s Black denizens of Interstate planning and construction. The “Lochner Report,” a transportation plan for Atlanta produced in 1946, along with the 1949 Federal Housing Act were used to uproot and bulldoze Black neighborhoods. City officials requested that “To the greatest extent possible, the [highway] routes were to go through ‘marginal neighborhoods’” such as Buttermilk Bottom and were to act as a barrier “between the central business district and the East Side African American Community.”g At least 4,000 Atlanta families were displaced by these federally funded programs; 89% of them were Black families.h
Interstates as tools for what Robert Bullard describes as “transportation racism” continued in the 1950s and 1960s.i The layout of I-20, running east-west through Atlanta’s center, as an example, was intentionally planned as the boundary between white and Black communities, hemming in Black neighborhoods while protecting white neighborhoods.j Divisions, etched by the Interstates on Atlanta, contribute to and maintain deep inequities in the city. The predominantly Black neighborhoods to the south of I-20 and west of I-75/85 have the worst outcomes in the city according to the Neighborhood Quality of Life index and Atlanta Neighborhood Health index.k Today’s residents are also poorer on every current measure of socioeconomics, housing, health, and access south of the
freeway.l The economic and health costs of the Interstates in Atlanta are not shared equally.
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a Bullard, R. D. 2003. “Addressing Urban Transportation Equity in the United States.” Fordham Urban Law Journal 31(5). https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/ulj/vol31/iss5/2. Accessed October 23, 2024; Karas, D. 2015, April. “Highway to Inequity: The Disparate Impact of the Interstate Highway System on Poor and Minority Communities in American Cities.” New Visions for Public Affairs 7.
b Evans, F. 2021, October 20. “How Interstate Highways Gutted Communities—and Reinforced Segregation.” History. Updated September 21, 2023. https://www.history.com/news/interstate-highway-system-infrastructure-construction-segregation. Accessed October 24, 2024.
c Karas, D. 2015, April. “Highway to Inequity: The Disparate Impact of the Interstate Highway System on Poor and Minority Communities in American Cities.” New Visions for Public Affairs 7.
d Kain, J. F. 1968. “Housing Segregation, Negro Employment, and Metropolitan Decentralization.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 82(2):175–197. https://doi.org/10.2307/1885893; Bullard, R. D. 2003. “Addressing Urban Transportation Equity in the United States.” Fordham Urban Law Journal 31(5). https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/ulj/vol31/iss5/2. Accessed October 23, 2024; Karas, D. 2015, April. “Highway to Inequity: The Disparate Impact of the Interstate Highway System on Poor and Minority Communities in American Cities.” New Visions for Public Affairs 7.
e Samuels, G., and Y. Freemark. 2022. The Polluted Life Near the Highway: A Review of National Scholarship and a Louisville Case Study. Urban Institute. https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/2022-11/The%20Polluted%20Life%20Near%20the%20Highway.pdf; National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2022. Racial Equity, Black America, and Public Transportation, Volume 1: A Review of Economic, Health, and Social Impacts. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/26710.
f Jackson, D. 2022, November 28. “Atlanta’s Income Inequality Is the Highest in the Nation.” Governing. https://www.governing.com/community/atlantas-income-inequality-is-the-highest-in-the-nation. Accessed October 24, 2024.
g Lochner, H. W. 1946. “Highway and Transportation Plan for Atlanta Georgia.” Prepared by H.W. Lochner & Company and De Leuw, Cather & Company for the State Highway Department of Georgia and the Public Roads Administration, Federal Works Agency.
h Immergluck, D. 2022. Red Hot City: Housing Race, and Exclusion in Twenty-First Century Atlanta. University of California Press; Konrad, M. 2009. Transporting Atlanta: The Mode of Mobility Under Construction. State University of New York Press; Keating, L. 2001. Atlanta: Race Class, and Urban Expansion. Philadelphia: Temple University Press; Bullard, R., et al. (eds.). 2000. Sprawl City: Race, Politics, and Planning in Atlanta. Washington, DC: Island Press.
i Bullard, R. D., G. S. Johnson, and A. O. Torres. 2004. Highway Robbery: Transportation Racism & New Routes to Equity. South End Press.
j Kruse, K. M. 2019, August 14. “What Does a Traffic Jam in Atlanta Have to Do with Segregation? Quite a Lot.” The New York Times Magazine. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/14/magazine/traffic-atlanta-segregation.html.
k Botchwey, N., S. Lee, A. Leous, and S. Guhathakurta. 2014. “Neighborhood Quality of Life and Health in Atlanta.” Edited by H. F. Etienne and B. Faga. Planning Atlanta 13:148–159.
l Atlanta Regional Commission. 2021. “Exploring Disparities on Atlanta’s Southside, Supplemental Information, Reconnecting the Atlanta Region’s Southside Communities: Atlanta Belt-Line to Flint River Trail.” PowerPoint presentation and analysis for grant awarded through the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Reconnecting Communities and Neighborhood program, https://atlantaregional.org/news/community-development/arc-and-four-communities-receive-50m-federal-grant-for-multi-use-trail-connecting-atlanta-beltline-and-flint-river. Accessed October 24, 2024.
Early guidance for assessing environmental justice impacts described a straightforward process: identify minority or low-income populations in a study area and for those populations compare the environmental impacts between minority and low-income populations and other groups to ensure that the former did not bear impacts that were “appreciably more severe or greater in magnitude.”13 For disproportionately high impacts, project sponsors were to avoid, minimize, or mitigate such impacts on the affected populations, consistent with guidance in the National Environmental Policy Act. A review of state department of transportation and metropolitan planning organization practices in the early 2000s identified the following common practice for equity assessment of transportation plans: define the target populations, typically at a traffic analysis zone level; define equity metrics related to benefits, burdens, or both; and assess equity, typically by using outputs from travel demand models to compare forecast changes in transportation metrics.14 This process is similar to that deployed by the Federal Transit Administration. Transit agencies determine the demographics of the area, determine the demographics of those affected by the proposed changes, compare affected and unaffected populations to ensure that minority and low-income groups are not disproportionately affected, and modify changes to resolve adverse impacts if necessary.15
The net result of environmental justice analysis has been to ensure that no disparate harm comes to population groups identified in Title VI and the 1994 executive order, namely racial minorities and low-income groups. While also aiming to limit disparities in transportation and environmental burdens, equity analysis broadens the environmental justice scope in at least two ways. First, equity analysis considers how the benefits of transportation are distributed and whether the benefits redress past harms that persist.16 Benefits could include increased access to destinations that fulfill needs for disadvantaged groups or increased investment in transportation infrastructure located in disadvantaged communities, such as mandated by the Justice40 initiative. Philosophically, an equity approach takes a
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13 Federal Highway Administration, USDOT. “Environmental Review Toolkit, Guidance on Environmental Justice and NEPA.” https://www.environment.fhwa.dot.gov/env_topics/ej/guidance_ejustice-nepa.aspx. Accessed October 17, 2024.
14 Karner, A., and D. Niemeier. 2013. “Civil Rights Guidance and Equity Analysis Methods for Regional Transportation Plans: A Critical Review of Literature and Practice.” Journal of Transport Geography 33:126–134.
15 Karner, A., and A. Golub. 2015. “Comparison of Two Common Approaches to Public Transit Service Equity Evaluation” Transportation Research Record 2531(1):170–179. https://doi.org/10.3141/2531-20.
16 Karner, A., R. H. M. Pereira, and S. Farber. 2024. “Advances and Pitfalls in Measuring Transportation Equity.” Transportation, January. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-023-10460-7; Pereira, R. H. M., T. Schwanen, and D. Banister. 2017. “Distributive Justice and Equity in Transportation.” Transport Reviews 37(2):170–191. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2016.1257660.
forward-looking perspective (“How will this intervention improve conditions?”) in contrast to a status quo perspective in the environmental justice approach (“Will this intervention produce disparate harms?”). Second, equity analysis includes more population groups than the narrower environmental justice analytical focus on people of color and low-income individuals and various dimensions in which an individual or community might be disadvantaged. These dimensions might include transportation insecurity, gender, disability, and immigrant status, and asset ownership such as car ownership and housing cost burden. Combinations of transportation disadvantage are also acknowledged.
More recent executive orders on racial equity and environmental justice strengthen the focus on data and metrics for transportation equity. In particular, the Executive Order on “Revitalizing Our Nation’s Commitment to Environmental Justice for All” requires the Office of Science and Technology Policy to develop a plan that includes recommendations for “disaggregating environmental risk, exposure, and health data by race, national origin, income, socioeconomic status, age, sex, disability, and other readily accessible and appropriate categories.”17 This requirement draws attention to data needs that support meaningful equity metrics.
Causal chain analysis is a way to better understand transportation’s role in compromising or improving outcomes for disadvantaged populations. In its most simple form, causal chain analysis produces a linear sequence of events such that event A causes event B which causes event C, where “cause” is established by logic or empirical evidence.18 In the field of public health, researchers use evidence-based logic models or pathway diagrams to connect policies and actions to outcomes. The analysis involves identifying and mapping out a series of intermediary steps or events that connect an initial cause (such as a risk factor) to its final effect (such as a health outcome).
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17 E.O. 14096. April 21, 2023. https://www.federalregister.gov/d/2023-08955/p-81.
18 Causal change and theory of change are closely related approaches. The theory of change examines how an intervention will lead to progressive change guided by theory (Rogers, P. 2014. Theory of Change, Methodological Briefs: Impact Evaluation 2. UNICEF Office of Research. https://www.entwicklung.at/fileadmin/user_upload/Dokumente/Evaluierung/Theory_of_Change/UNICEF_Theory_of_change.pdf). In many cases, the theory between transportation investments and societal outcomes is not well formed. A causal chain is a logic model allowing for descriptive relationships representing how interventions can lead to outcomes (Kneale, D., J. Thomas, M. Bangpan, H. Waddington, and D. Gough. 2018. “Causal Chain Analysis in Systematic Reviews of International Development Interventions.” CEDIL Inception Paper 4).
There are often intermediary variables that mediate the relationship between the initial exposure (or a base condition) and the final outcome. For example, smoking (initial exposure) leads to tar accumulation in the lungs (intermediary variable), which causes cellular mutations (another intermediary variable), which eventually leads to lung cancer (final outcome).
To connect transportation investments to long-term societal outcomes, each link in the causal chain that explains transportation’s role within domains such as employment or education is articulated. Causal chain analysis is particularly consistent with a safe system approach,19 which has been adopted by USDOT as the guiding framework for addressing roadway safety. Here, the intent is to identify comprehensive, holistic strategies for mitigating risks and improving safety outcomes in the transportation system. Consider the example of an intersection at which there have been many severe pedestrian–vehicle crashes. Under a safe system analysis, transportation safety planners and engineers may have identified this intersection, as well as other hotspots, using spatial data analysis. The societal (population-level) outcome is to lower the number of severe crashes, which could be expressed as a number or rate of crashes compared to a goal. A causal chain analysis would step backward from this metric to examine all the links leading to a reduction in severe crashes. The most proximate cause of the high number of crashes is likely to be related to a design characteristic of the intersection; for instance, a slip lane may encourage vehicles to turn through the intersection at a high rate of speed or objects like parked cars or trees may obstruct the view of drivers as they round the corner. Changing the configuration or improving daylighting at the intersection would eliminate, mitigate, or address the most immediate cause of the crashes.
However, the intersection’s design is not the root cause of the crashes. To use the language of epidemiology, stopping at this level of analysis would address the symptom but not the disease. One step back in a possible causal chain would look at what is generating the number of cars and pedestrians that travel through the intersection; in other words, the factors that contribute to a high level of risk exposure. For example, the intersection may be located near a car-oriented shopping development that is across the street from a senior living center. The analysis at this step might examine whether there are alternative modes available to the shopping center to reduce the number of vehicles passing through, whether driveways are encouraging unsafe movements near the intersection, and whether enough time is provided
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19 Elvik, R. 2003. “Assessing the Validity of Road Safety Evaluation Studies by Analysing Causal Chains.” Accident Analysis & Prevention 35(5):741–748; Shinar, D. 2019. “Crash Causes, Countermeasures, and Safety Policy Implications.” Accident Analysis & Prevention 125:224–231.
for older pedestrians to cross the street. Yet another step back in the chain might examine the broader conditions that contribute to patterns of vehicle and pedestrian movement. For example, land use and zoning policies may encourage a strict separation of residential locations from shopping districts and work locations, making travel by nondriving modes difficult or impossible. Solutions could involve zoning reform and incentives for mixed-used development, reducing the initial exposure of pedestrians to vehicles. Note that solutions at this stage are likely to involve land use planners, business owners, community development planners, and other professionals outside of the transportation sector.
In addition, the transportation outcome may not be the appropriate place to end the causal chain analysis to solve population-level outcomes. For example, if the survivorship rate of severe crashes is low, the analysis should move forward in the chain to examine postcrash care variables: emergency vehicle response times, hospital locations, medical staffing, and hospital capacity, among others. Addressing these issues would require collaboration with experts in other domains and may necessitate their own causal chain analyses to investigate solutions to deficiencies.
Not every transportation project will lead directly to improvements in individual or societal outcomes. Many times, transportation is just one (essential) piece of a larger group of elements that must be in place in the system: in other words, transportation improvements may be a necessary but not sufficient factor in improving individual or societal outcomes. Because policies across domains often function as an interdependent system, misalignment between domains can lead to inequitable outcomes, while policies that act together can make significant improvements in life circumstances.20
Indicators and metrics, as defined in the report, are the typology often used to operationalize evidence-based policies in public health.21 Using this
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20 Robins, J. M. 1986. “A New Approach to Causal Inference in Mortality Studies with a Sustained Exposure Period—Application to Control of the Healthy Worker Survivor Effect.” Mathematical Modelling 7(9–12):1393–1512; Greenland, S., J. Pearl, and J. M. Robins. 1999. “Causal Diagrams for Epidemiologic Research.” Epidemiology 10(1):37–48.
21 Bell, S., and S. Morse. 2011. “An Analysis of the Factors Influencing the Use of Indicators in the European Union.” Local Environment 16(3):281–302; Sébastien, L., T. Bauler, and M. Lehtonen. 2014. “Can Indicators Bridge the Gap Between Science and Policy? An Exploration into the (Non) Use and (Non) Influence of Indicators in EU and UK Policy Making.” Nature and Culture 9(3):316–343; e.g., Giles-Corti, B., A. V. Moudon, M. Lowe, D. Adlakha, E. Cerin, and G. Boeing. 2022. “Creating Healthy and Sustainable Cities: What Gets Measured, Gets Done.” The Lancet Global Health 10(6):e919–e926.
typology, we can use causal chain analysis to connect transportation investments to long-term societal outcomes. Although societal outcomes are typically multicausal, identifying long-term outcomes and the causal chain back to transportation decision making is important for two reasons: (1) to select transportation indicators and metrics that have a meaningful relationship to long-term outcomes for individuals and communities, and (2) to align transportation investments with long-term societal outcomes that are equitable. For example, for the long-term outcome “economic security” and the intermediate outcome “employment,” the indicator “transit access” could be operationalized by the number of bus stops within half a mile or by the number of bus routes with frequent service. The transportation agency would have to decide which of these two metrics was the most meaningful to move toward equitable economic security.
Indicators can be categorized as inputs, outputs, and outcomes, as defined previously in Box 2-1. Outcome indicators measure the objective of the program or project, that is, the intended results. Outcome indicators are generally longer term and have multiple contributing factors. In causal chain analysis, transportation outcomes may be the final outcome from a transportation agency’s perspective; however, the transportation outcome may serve as an intermediate outcome on the causal chain toward an individual or societal outcome. For example, an increased share of trips via walking or biking may be the transportation agency’s long-term outcome, but it also represents an intermediate outcome along a causal chain of increasing physical activity (another intermediate outcome) toward a long-term societal outcome of improved physical health and reduced risk of chronic disease.
Output indicators measure a product or activity; a transportation example is miles of protected bicycle lanes. Output metrics are attractive to transportation agencies because they are within the agency’s sphere of control and are often easier to measure. However, on their own, output indicators do not signal if the agency is moving toward a desired outcome. For example, the miles of protected bicycle lanes built do not measure whether their use eventually leads to improved health outcomes or improved health outcomes for disadvantaged populations. The transportation agency should still consult research and evaluation results to connect the output (e.g., protected bicycle lanes) along a causal chain with the desired outcome (e.g., bicycle mode share). Even with a demonstrated connection, comparing progress of the output metric relative to the outcome metric enables the agency to assess whether a course correction is needed.
Input indicators measure the resources a transportation agency invests to produce outputs that work toward achieving an outcome; for example, funding for bicycle infrastructure is an input indicator. Coming earlier in the causal chain, inputs (e.g., investment levels) may not produce the desired
outputs or the expected outcomes. Evaluation of input and output metrics against the progress of outcome metrics informs decisions about appropriate levels of funding, resource efficiency, and whether projects or programs are appropriately scoped to meet goals and outcomes.
To address the statement of task’s charge to examine data, metrics, and analytic methods, related to addressing the challenges and barriers to access to housing, employment, health care, education, and essential services, the committee used an “accessibility” or “access to destinations” analytic framework. In this framework, access to destinations (or accessibility) is defined as the ease with which a person can reach valued destinations.22 An accessibility approach to transportation recognizes that the purpose of transportation is reaching—or accessing—employment, education, health care, and housing, which in turn enables progress toward a societal outcome such as improved health. Historically, transportation policy in the United States has focused on mobility solutions that speed up or reduce delay of vehicle travel as a way to address access to the places that people need to thrive.23 As a public policy framework, access to destinations instead emphasizes meeting people’s access needs through a place-based decision-making framework that considers how people’s access needs can be met through a range of mobility improvements and changes in the proximity of relevant land uses (i.e., destinations).24 Changes in land use, such as land development spurred by community or economic development policies, can also produce improvements in accessibility by locating destinations such as employment or health clinics nearer to residents.
Access to destinations is also a powerful framework for identifying and analyzing inequities in the current transportation system. Past and current patterns of transportation investments, residential segregation, neighborhood disinvestment, white flight, and suburbanization have, for certain communities, produced more extreme challenges and barriers to accessing the places that people need to thrive. By measuring the changes in access across geographies and by population, access to destinations represents one method to operationalize distributive justice in transportation.25 For
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22 Handy, S. L., and D. A. Niemeier. 1997. “Measuring Accessibility: An Exploration of Issues and Alternatives.” Environment and Planning A 29(7):1175–1194.
23 Handy, S. 2020. “Is Accessibility an Idea Whose Time Has Finally Come?” Transportation Research D: Transport and Environment 83:102319.
24 Martens, K. 2015. “Accessibility and Potential Mobility as a Guide for Policy Action.” Transportation Research Record 2499(1):18–24.
25 Pereira, R. H. M., T. Schwanen, and D. Banister. 2017. “Distributive Justice and Equity in Transportation.” Transport Reviews 37(2):170–191.
example, because access to destinations is critical to equitable community health outcomes, measuring changes in accessibility is an important way to evaluate transportation projects.26
This section reviews the literature establishing the connection between transportation investments and disparities in people’s access to housing, employment, education, and health care and services. To the extent possible, this section also identifies the indicators used in the research literature to measure transportation’s contribution to societal outcomes in these domains. Table 2-1 illustrates transportation’s contribution to intermediate and long-term societal outcomes associated with access to housing and key destinations. This table is not intended to be comprehensive and does not identify the full causal chain for each issue.
Historic and current land use and housing practices, such as redlining and housing discrimination, have produced neighborhoods segregated by race and income.27 For people of color, one consequence of housing discrimination in its many forms is a lack of wealth-building opportunities, resulting in a persistent wealth gap between whites and other racial and ethnic groups.28 Living in higher-poverty neighborhoods exposes residents
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26 Northridge, M. E., and L. Freeman. 2011. “Urban Planning and Health Equity.” Journal of Urban Health: Bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine 88(3):582–597. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11524-011-9558-5; Krapp, A., J. M. Barajas, and A. Wennink. 2021. “Equity-Oriented Criteria for Project Prioritization in Regional Transportation Planning.” Transportation Research Record 2675(9):182–195. https://doi.org/10.1177/03611981211001072.
27 Hilovsky, K. L., and T. T. Williams. 2020. “Creating the Healthiest Nation: Health and Housing Equity.” https://www.apha.org/-/media/files/pdf/topics/equity/health_and_housing_equity.pdf. Accessed October 20, 2024; Dawkins, C. J. 2002. “Measuring the Spatial Pattern of Residential Segregation.” Urban Studies 41(4):833–851. https://doi.org/10.1080/0042098042000194133; Dawkins, C. 2006. “The Spatial Pattern of Black-White Segregation in US Metropolitan Areas: An Exploratory Analysis.” Urban Studies 43(11):1943–1969. https://doi.org/10.1080/00420980600897792; Menedian, S., S. Gamhir, and A. Gailes. 2021. “The Roots of Structural Racism: Twenty-First Century Residential Segregation in the United States.” https://www.councilforthehomeless.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/the_roots_of_structural_racism_report_and_appendix.pdf. Accessed October 20, 2024; Rothstein, R. 2017. The Color of Law: A Forgotten History of How Our Government Segregated America. Liveright Publishing; Dawkins, C. J. 2007. “Exploring Changes in Income Clustering and Centralization during the 1990s.” Journal of Planning Education and Research 26(4):404–414.
28 Hilovsky, K. L., and T. T. Williams. 2020. “Creating the Healthiest Nation: Health and Housing Equity.” https://www.apha.org/-/media/files/pdf/topics/equity/health_and_housing_equity.pdf. Accessed October 20, 2024; Shapiro, T., T. Meschede, and S. Osoro. 2013. “The Roots of the Widening Racial Wealth Gap: Explaining the Black-White Economic Divide.” Research and Policy Brief. Institute on Assets and Social Policy, Brandeis University. https://heller.brandeis.edu/iere/pdfs/racial-wealth-equity/racial-wealth-gap/roots-widening-racial-wealth-gap.pdf. Accessed October 20, 2024.
TABLE 2-1 Transportation’s Role in Societal Outcomes Related to Access to Housing and Key Destinations
| Domain | Transportation Input | Intermediate Outcomes | Long-Term Outcomes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Housing |
|
|
|
| Employment |
|
|
|
| Education |
|
|
|
| Health care |
|
|
|
NOTE: This table is not intended to be comprehensive and does not identify the full causal chain for each issue.
SOURCE: Committee analysis.
to increased levels of crime, unemployment, and other adverse conditions.29 Race and income are intersectional: segregated communities of color have the highest neighborhood poverty rates.30 Conversely, living in a low-poverty neighborhood is associated with better equity outcomes such as lower housing vacancy rates, higher median household income, higher labor
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29 Hess, C. 2020. “Residential Segregation by Race and Ethnicity and the Changing Geography of Neighborhood Poverty.” Spatial Demography 9:57–106. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40980-020-00066-3.
30 Menedian, S., S. Gamhir, and A. Gailes. 2021. “The Roots of Structural Racism: Twenty-First Century Residential Segregation in the United States.” https://www.councilforthehomeless.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/the_roots_of_structural_racism_report_and_appendix.pdf. Accessed October 20, 2024.
force participation, and higher adult high school graduation rates.31 Moving from high-poverty to low-poverty neighborhoods also improves long-term outcomes for children, including earnings and college attendance.32
However, low-income residents and residents of color face transportation challenges in securing housing in higher-resourced neighborhoods. Given the decentralization of metropolitan areas and auto-oriented land development patterns, access to an automobile provides access to more housing choices, including housing in higher-resourced neighborhoods. Access to an automobile can improve an individual’s chance of living and staying in low-poverty neighborhoods.33 In addition, the costs associated with automobile ownership may be a burden or prohibitive to low-income households.34
Building housing adjacent to transit can benefit low-income residents and people of color by providing convenient opportunities for living without a vehicle, which reduces household transportation costs. In addition, other amenities may be located as part of transit-oriented developments (TODs), providing residents greater access to other essential goods and services. TODs, however, are also associated with higher rental prices, bringing concerns of gentrification and displacement of lower-income renters.35 Evidence suggests a rail-induced gentrification phenomenon—with the lowest-income neighborhoods most susceptible—but methodological concerns for many of the studies that make up this body of research prevent drawing firm conclusions.36 Housing affordability requirements and
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31 Jeon, J. S., C. Dawkins, and R. Pendall. 2018. “How Vehicle Access Enables Low-Income Households to Live in Better Neighborhoods.” Housing Policy Debate 28(6):920–939. https://doi.org/10.1080/10511482.2018.1494023.
32 Chetty, R., N. Hendren, and L. F. Katz. 2016. “The Effects of Exposure to Better Neighborhoods on Children: New Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment.” American Economic Review 106(4):855–902. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20150572.
33 Dawkins, C. J., J. S. Jeon, and R. Pendall. 2015. “Vehicle Access and Exposure to Neighborhood Poverty: Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Program.” Journal of Regional Science 55(5):687–707.
34 Klein, N. J. 2024. “Subsidizing Car Ownership for Low-Income Individuals and Households.” Journal of Planning Education and Research 44(1):165–177. https://doi.org/10.1177/0739456X20950428.
35 Renne, J. L., T. Tolford, S. Hamidi, and R. Ewing. 2016. “The Cost and Affordability Paradox of Transit-Oriented Development: A Comparison of Housing and Transportation Costs Across Transit-Oriented Development, Hybrid and Transit-Adjacent Development Station Typologies.” Housing Policy Debate 26(4–5):819–834. https://doi.org/10.1080/10511482.2016.1193038.
36 Padeiro, M., A. Louro, and N. M. Da Costa. 2019. “Transit-Oriented Development and Gentrification: A Systematic Review.” Transport Reviews 39(6):733–754.
other protections for low-income renters in TODs may be effective tools to prevent residential displacement.37
Employment is critical to individual and community well-being.38 In general, increased access to jobs by car or public transit improves the probability of employment.39 Higher levels of job accessibility are associated with higher wages.40 Residential segregation by race affects unemployment durations through racial differences in job accessibility.41 In one study, about half of employment rate disparities could be explained by job accessibility.42
A meta-analysis of previous empirical research identified four categories of transportation indicators that are positively associated with employment outcomes: car ownership, public transport access, commute times, and job accessibility levels.43 Because it is nearly impossible to complete daily activities in most places in the United States without a car, car access is a significant predictor of employment outcomes. Among low-income Americans, access to a car is associated with gaining and maintaining
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37 Chapple, K., and A. Loukaitou-Sideris. 2019. Transit-Oriented Displacement or Community Dividends? Understanding the Effects of Smarter Growth on Communities. Urban and Industrial Environments. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press; Dawkins, C., and R. Moeckel. 2016. “Transit-Induced Gentrification: Who Will Stay, and Who Will Go?” Housing Policy Debate 26(4–5):801–818. https://doi.org/10.1080/10511482.2016.1138986.
38 Badland, H., M. Davern, K. Villanueva, S. Mavoa, A. Milner, R. Roberts, and B. Giles-Corti. 2016. “Conceptualizing and Measuring Spatial Indicators of Employment Through a Livability Lens.” Social Indicators Research 127:565–675.
39 Bastiaansen, J., D. Johnson, and K. Lucas. 2020. “Does Transport Help People to Gain Employment? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Empirical Evidence.” Transport Reviews 40(5):607–628. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1747569.
40 Chatman, D. G., and R. B. Noland. 2014. “Transit Service, Physical Agglomeration and Productivity in US Metropolitan Areas.” Urban Studies 51(5):917–937. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098013494426.
41 Dawkins, C. J., Q. Shen, and T. W. Sanchez. 2005. “Race, Space, and Unemployment Duration.” Journal of Urban Economics 58(1):91–113.
42 Ihlanfeldt, K. R., and D. L. Sjoquist. 1998. “The Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis: A Review of Recent Studies and Their Implications for Welfare Reform.” Housing Policy Debate 9:849–892, cited in Bastiaansen, J., D. Johnson, and K. Lucas. 2020. “Does Transport Help People to Gain Employment? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Empirical Evidence.” Transport Reviews 40(5):607–628. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1747569.
43 Bastiaansen, J., D. Johnson, and K. Lucas. 2020. “Does Transport Help People to Gain Employment? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Empirical Evidence.” Transport Reviews 40(5):607–628. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1747569.
employment and, in most studies, having a better paying job.44 The income gains for households with car access have increased over time relative to those without, suggesting the growing importance of car access.45 Many of these studies suggest a causal effect as well, with a metaregression showing that people who have access to a car are about 1.8 times more likely to be employed than those without car access.46 Racial disparities in car access also predict racial disparities in unemployment.47
High commute times are associated with decreased likelihood of individual employment among low-wage workers and low-educated women, whereas lower commute times are associated with increased likelihood of employment.48 Although longer commute times clearly represent a transportation burden for low-income workers, there are two cautions associated with commute time indicators. First, commute time tends to rise with income as wealthier residents move to suburban areas49 making it difficult to identify the burdens borne by low-income workers as compared to
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44 Blumenberg, E., and G. Pierce. 2014. “A Driving Factor in Mobility? Transportation’s Role in Connecting Subsidized Housing and Employment Outcomes in the Moving to Opportunity (MTO) Program.” Journal of the American Planning Association 80(1):52–66. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2014.935267; Gurley, T., and D. Bruce. 2005. “The Effects of Car Access on Employment Outcomes for Welfare Recipients.” Journal of Urban Economics 58(2):250–272. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2005.05.002; Hu, L. 2017. “Job Accessibility and Employment Outcomes: Which Income Groups Benefit the Most?” Transportation 44:1421–1443. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-016-9708-4; Raphael, S., and L. Rice. 2002. “Car Ownership, Employment, and Earnings.” Journal of Urban Economics 52(1):109–130. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0094-1190(02)00017-7; Sandoval, J. S. O., R. Cervero, and J. Landis. 2011. “The Transition from Welfare-to-Work: How Cars and Human Capital Facilitate Employment for Welfare Recipients.” Applied Geography 31(1):352–362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2010.07.008; Smart, M. J., and N. J. Klein. 2020. “Disentangling the Role of Cars and Transit in Employment and Labor Earnings.” Transportation 47(3):1275–1309. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-018-9959-3.
45 King, D. A., M. J. Smart, and M. Manville. 2022. “The Poverty of the Carless: Toward Universal Auto Access.” Journal of Planning Education and Research 42(3):464–481. https://doi.org/10.1177/0739456X18823252.
46 Bastiaansen, J., D. Johnson, and K. Lucas. 2020. “Does Transport Help People to Gain Employment? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Empirical Evidence.” Transport Reviews 40(5):607–628. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1747569.
47 Covington, K. L. 2018. “Overcoming Spatial Mismatch: The Opportunities and Limits of Transit Mode in Addressing the Black-White Unemployment Gap.” City & Community 17(1):211–235. https://doi.org/10.1111/cico.12278.
48 Bastiaansen, J., D. Johnson, and K. Lucas. 2020. “Does Transport Help People to Gain Employment? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Empirical Evidence.” Transport Reviews 40(5):607–628. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1747569.
49 Ihlanfeldt, K. R., and D. L. Sjoquist. 1998. “The Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis: A Review of Recent Studies and their Implications for Welfare Reform.” Housing Policy Debate 9:849–892, as cited in Bastiaansen, J., D. Johnson, and K. Lucas. 2020. “Does Transport Help People to Gain Employment? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Empirical Evidence.” Transport Reviews 40(5):607–628. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1747569.
high-income workers. Second, commute time indicators are based on the travel patterns of employed individuals and therefore fail to capture those who are unemployed because of a lack of access to jobs.50
Transit access also affects employment outcomes. The use of public transit is associated with lower rates of unemployment at the metropolitan area level.51 Better transit-based access to jobs is associated with gaining and maintaining employment among low-income households.52 Two natural experiments demonstrated that losing access to transit impacts employment outcomes. One study in Georgia found substantial increases in poverty and unemployment rates in neighborhoods affected by the closure of a local bus line.53 The other, in New York City, found that the probability of being unemployed increased in neighborhoods that experienced an unexpected closure of a subway line, especially for those without access to a car.54 Other research shows no effect of transit access on employment for people in poverty, but a positive effect on future earnings for people without cars (for all income levels), particularly in transit-rich areas.55 Differences in employment based on transit job accessibility is larger in car-dominated metropolitan areas and for those who do not own a car.56
Transportation can also play a role in providing greater access to employment through facilitating economic development: that is, transportation improvements can be used to attract employers to a neighborhood or community. The large and diverse body of research on the effect of transportation infrastructure on economic activity typically analyzes economic benefits at the regional level and tests hypotheses that posit that
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50 Bastiaansen, J., D. Johnson, and K. Lucas. 2020. “Does Transport Help People to Gain Employment? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Empirical Evidence.” Transport Reviews 40(5):607–628. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1747569.
51 Covington, K. L. 2018. “Overcoming Spatial Mismatch: The Opportunities and Limits of Transit Mode in Addressing the Black-White Unemployment Gap.” City & Community 17(1):211–235. https://doi.org/10.1111/cico.12278.
52 Kawabata, M. 2003. “Job Access and Employment Among Low-Skilled Autoless Workers in US Metropolitan Areas.” Environment and Planning A 35(9):1651–1668. https://doi.org/10.1068/a35209; Blumenberg, E., and G. Pierce. 2014. “A Driving Factor in Mobility? Transportation’s Role in Connecting Subsidized Housing and Employment Outcomes in the Moving to Opportunity (MTO) Program.” Journal of the American Planning Association 80(1):52–66. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2014.935267.
53 Li, F., and C. K. Wyczalkowski. 2023. “How Buses Alleviate Unemployment and Poverty: Lessons from a Natural Experiment in Clayton County, GA.” Urban Studies 60(13):2632–2650.
54 Tyndall, J. 2017. “Waiting for the R Train: Public Transportation and Employment.” Urban Studies 54(2):520–537.
55 Smart, M. J., and N. J. Klein. 2018. “Complicating the Story of Location Affordability.” Housing Policy Debate 28(3):393–410. https://doi.org/10.1080/10511482.2017.1371784.
56 Bastiaansen, J., D. Johnson, and K. Lucas. 2020. “Does Transport Help People to Gain Employment? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Empirical Evidence.” Transport Reviews 40(5):607–628. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1747569.
transportation investment provides economic benefit via reduced costs for firms, interregional labor mobility, or transport-induced economic development.57,58 Generally, the research’s regional focus and the complex causal chain between economic activity and individual well-being makes it difficult to connect investment with individual or population-level outcomes, particularly for disadvantaged populations.59 The disconnect between economic outputs and individual and community outcomes, sometimes described as “place prosperity” versus “people prosperity,” is also difficult to bridge in planning and transportation practice because practitioners primarily use place-based tools that may only indirectly benefit resident economic outcomes.60
Transportation has a critical role in ensuring safe and reliable travel to school, a long-term education-related equity outcome. This section examines transportation’s role in providing access to K–12 education in two ways: (1) active travel (e.g., walking or biking) and (2) access to education and the “education debt” experienced by individuals and communities that results from systemic inequities that persist.61 Regarding the transportation field’s focus on active travel to school62 its attendant benefits include reducing traffic congestion, improving traffic safety, improving children’s
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57 Elburz, Z., P. Nijkamp, and E. Pels. 2017. “Public Infrastructure and Regional Growth: Lessons from Meta-Analysis.” Journal of Transport Geography 58:1–8; Melo, P. C., D. J. Graham, and R. Brage-Ardao. 2013. “The Productivity of Transport Infrastructure Investment: A Meta-Analysis of Empirical Evidence.” Regional Science and Urban Economics 43(5):695–706. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2013.05.002; Pokharel, R., L. Bertoli, and M. Brömmelstroet. 2023. “How Does Transportation Facilitate Regional Economic Development? A Heuristic Mapping of the Literature.” Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives 19:100817.
58 Economies of agglomeration are represented by the dependence of a firm’s profit on the location of other firms, which can be a positive pull force (agglomeration economies) or a negative push force (spatial competition) (Combes, P.-P., and L. Gobillion. 2015. “Agglomeration Theory with Heterogenous Agents.” Chapter 4 in Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics. https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/economics-econometrics-and-finance/agglomeration-effect. Accessed November 24, 2024.
59 Pokharel, R., L. Bertoli, and M. Brömmelstroet. 2023. “How Does Transportation Facilitate Regional Economic Development? A Heuristic Mapping of the Literature.” Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives 19:100817.
60 Schrock, G. 2014. “Connecting People and Place Prosperity: Workforce Development and Urban Planning in Scholarship and Practice.” Journal of Planning Literature 29(3):257–271. https://doi.org/10.1177/0885412214538834.
61 The committee did not take up the question of adult education.
62 Bierbaum, A. H., A. Karner, and J. M. Barajas. 2021. “Toward Mobility Justice: Linking Transportation and Education Equity in the Context of School Choice.” Journal of the American Planning Association 87(2):197–210.
physical activity levels,63 increasing children’s independence,64 and possibly improved academic performance.65 Students from low-income families and students of color are more likely to walk or bicycle to school compared to white or higher-income students.66 In practice, active travel to school is promoted through Safe Routes to School programs, pedestrian and safety-focused street designs, and encouraging school siting coordination between school districts and land use planning agencies.67 Despite the effectiveness of active travel interventions, active travel to school programming has been limited in practice.68
Active travel to school presumes attendance at a neighborhood school within walking and cycling distance. Neighborhood schools can be a stabilizing feature of the neighborhood, contributing to property values and community cohesion.69 However, historic policies such as redlining have created disparate neighborhood conditions that continue to impact access
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63 Community Preventive Services Task Force (CPSTF). 2018. “Physical Activity: Interventions to Increase Active Travel to School.” https://www.thecommunityguide.org/findings/physical-activity-interventions-increase-active-travel-school.html; Steiner, R. L., L. B. Crider, and M. Betancourt. 2006. “Safe Ways to School—the Role of Multimodal Planning.” Prepared for the Florida Department of Transportation Systems Planning Office. https://fdotwww.blob.core.windows.net/sitefinity/docs/default-source/research/reports/fdot-bd545-32-rpt.pdf. Accessed November 24, 2024.
64 Steiner, R. L., L. B. Crider, and M. Betancourt. 2006. “Safe Ways to School—the Role of Multimodal Planning.” Prepared for the Florida Department of Transportation Systems Planning Office. https://fdotwww.blob.core.windows.net/sitefinity/docs/default-source/research/reports/fdot-bd545-32-rpt.pdf. Accessed November 24, 2024.
65 Yeung, R., and P. Nguygen-Hoang. 2019. “It’s the Journey, Not the Destination: The Effect of School Travel Mode on Student Achievement.” Journal of Urbanism: International Research on Placemaking and Urban Sustainability 13(2):170–186; Walker, I., and T. Gamble. 2023. “Active Travel to School: A Longitudinal Millennium Cohort Study of Schooling Outcomes.” BMJ Open 13(3):e068388. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2022-068388.
66 McDonald, N. C. 2008. “Critical Factors for Active Transportation to School Among Low-Income and Minority Students: Evidence from the 2001 National Household Travel Survey.” American Journal of Preventive Medicine 34:341–344.
67 Steiner, R. L., L. B. Crider, and M. Betancourt. 2006. “Safe Ways to School—the Role of Multimodal Planning.” Prepared for the Florida Department of Transportation Systems Planning Office. https://fdotwww.blob.core.windows.net/sitefinity/docs/default-source/research/reports/fdot-bd545-32-rpt.pdf. Accessed November 24, 2024.
68 Jones, R. A., N. E. Blackburn, C. Wood, M. Byrne, F. Nassau, and M. Tully. 2019. “Interventions Promoting Active Transport to School in Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.” Preventive Medicine 123:232–241.
69 Alexander, M., and V. Massaro. 2020. “School Deserts: Visualizing the Death of the Neighborhood School.” Policy Futures in Education 18(6). https://doi.org/10.1177/1478210320951063.
to quality education today, including highly segregated schools.70 Neighborhood schools are no longer the norm because of siting policies that prefer larger campuses and closure policies due to budget concerns and underperformance, among other reasons.71 Schools in segregated and/or high-poverty neighborhoods have higher suspension rates, fewer qualified teachers, higher rates of teacher turnover,72 and poor building conditions that inhibit learning.73 Neighborhood schools can serve as community facilities, which can be important for high-poverty neighborhoods that otherwise lack access to community resources, such as libraries and community centers.74 This is particularly true for “community schools” that offer integrated student supports, which have been shown to meet the needs of disadvantaged students in high-poverty schools and are associated with positive student outcomes, such as reduced absenteeism and improved academic outcomes.75 It is also possible that community schools can catalyze community development, thereby benefiting the neighborhood as well as students.76
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70 Alexander, M., and V. Massaro. 2020. “School Deserts: Visualizing the Death of the Neighborhood School.” Policy Futures in Education 18(6). https://doi.org/10.1177/1478210320951063; Bierbaum, A. H., A. Karner, and J. M. Barajas. 2021. “Toward Mobility Justice: Linking Transportation and Education Equity in the Context of School Choice.” Journal of the American Planning Association 87(2):197–210. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2020.1803104.
71 Alexander, M., and V. Massaro. 2020. “School Deserts: Visualizing the Death of the Neighborhood School.” Policy Futures in Education 18(6). https://doi.org/10.1177/1478210320951063.
72 Bierbaum, A. H., A. Karner, and J. M. Barajas. 2021. “Toward Mobility Justice: Linking Transportation and Education Equity in the Context of School Choice.” Journal of the American Planning Association 87(2):197–210. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2020.1803104; Duncan, G., K. Magnuson, R. Murnane, and E. Votruba-Drzal. 2019. “Income Inequality and the Well-Being of American Families.” Family Relations 68(3):313–325. https://doi.org/10.1111/fare.12364; Levy, B. L. 2019. “Heterogeneous Impacts of Concentrated Poverty During Adolescence on College Outcomes.” Social Forces 98(1):147–182.
73 Syeed, E. 2022. “The Space Beyond: A Blueprint of Radical Possibilities in School Design.” Educational Policy 36(4):769–795. https://doi.org/10.1177/08959048221087207.
74 Louis Taylor, H., L. McGlynn, and D. G. Luter. 2014. “Public Schools as Neighborhood Anchor Institutions: The Choice Neighborhood Initiative in Buffalo, New York.” In Schools and Urban Revitalization: Rethinking Institutions and Community Development (1st edition). Edited by K. L. Patterson and R. M. Silverman. Philadelphia: Taylor & Francis Group; Syeed, E. 2022. “The Space Beyond: A Blueprint of Radical Possibilities in School Design.” Educational Policy 36(4):769–795. https://doi.org/10.1177/08959048221087207.
75 Maier, A., J. Daniel, J. Oakes, and L. Lam. 2017. Community Schools as an Effective School Improvement Strategy: A Review of the Evidence. Learning Policy Institute and National Education Policy Center. https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED606765.pdf. Accessed November 24, 2024.
76 Butler, A., A. Bierbaum, and E. O’Keefe. 2022. “Leveraging Community Schools for Community Development: Lessons from Baltimore’s 21st Century School Buildings Program.” Urban Education 59(8):2458–2488. https://doi.org/10.1177/00420859221107615.
A second approach to addressing transportation’s role in access to education employs a mobility justice framework, which focuses on “education debt”77 created by the housing, land use, transportation, and fiscal policies that have structured neighborhoods and schools into areas of greater and lesser advantage.78 Higher-income families can choose to live in neighborhoods that low-income residents cannot afford and patterns of residential segregation and differential school investment are continually reinforced.79
Lengthy commutes also dictate the range of schools available for attendance. Longer travel times are generally associated with adverse educational outcomes but not when they provide access to higher-quality schools.80 However, difficulties in accessing public transit can increase absences,81 which are associated with poor test results82 and adverse educational outcomes.83 Declining public revenues have led some school districts to cut yellow bus services. Public transit, where available, may fill the gap and sometimes students have access to free or low-cost transit passes. However,
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77 Ladson-Billings, G. 2006. “From the Achievement Gap to the Education Debt: Understanding Achievement in U.S. Schools.” Educational Research 35(7):3–12. http://doi.org/10.3102/0013189X035007003; Lee, I.-M., E. J. Shiroma, R. L. F. Lobelo, P. Puska, S. N. Blair, and P. T. Katzmarzyk. 2012. “Impact of Physical Inactivity on the World’s Major NonCommunicable Diseases.” Lancet 380:219–229.
78 Bierbaum, A. H., A. Karner, and J. M. Barajas. 2021. “Toward Mobility Justice: Linking Transportation and Education Equity in the Context of School Choice.” Journal of the American Planning Association 87(2):197–210. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2020.1803104.
79 Bierbaum, A. H., A. Karner, and J. M. Barajas. 2021. “Toward Mobility Justice: Linking Transportation and Education Equity in the Context of School Choice.” Journal of the American Planning Association 87(2):197–210. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2020.1803104; Duncan, G., K. Magnuson, R. Murnane, and E. Votruba-Drzal. 2019. “Income Inequality and the Well-Being of American Families.” Family Relations 68(3):313–325. https://doi.org/10.1111/fare.12364.
80 Hopson, L. M., A. D. Lidbe, M. S. Jackson, E. Adanu, X. Li, P. Penmetsa, H. Y. Lee, A. Anderson, C. Obuya, and G. Abura-Meerdink. 2024. “Transportation to School and Academic Outcomes: A Systematic Review.” Educational Review 76(3):648–668. https://doi.org/10.1080/00131911.2022.2034748.
81 Stein, M. L., and J. A. Grigg. 2019. “Missing Bus, Missing School: Establishing the Relationship Between Public Transit Use and Student Absenteeism.” American Educational Research Journal 56(5):1834–1860. https://doi.org/10.3102/0002831219833917.
82 Ginsburg, A., P. Jordan, and H. Chang. 2014. “Absences Add Up: How School Attendance Influences Student Success.” Attendance Works. https://www.attendanceworks.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Absenses-Add-Up_September-3rd-2014.pdf and https://www.attendanceworks.org/absences-add-up. Accessed October 24, 2024.
83 Romero, M., and Y.-S. Lee. 2007. A National Portrait of Chronic Absenteeism in the Early Grades. National Center for Children in Poverty, Columbia University. https://www.attendanceworks.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/A-National-Portrait-of-Chronic-Absenteeism-in-the-Early-Grades-Oct-2007.pdf. Accessed October 24, 2024.
student access to these transit passes have had mixed impacts on school attendance and academic outcomes.84
Millions of Americans delay or miss medical care each year because of transportation issues.85,86 Despite options for health care–related transportation, such as paratransit and Medicaid’s transportation benefit, nearly 2% of the population persistently reports a transportation barrier to health care.87 Lack of access to a vehicle has been found to be a key barrier.88 Fixed-route public transit may not align with the location of health care facilities or transit fares may too be expensive,89 presenting a transportation barrier to those who depend on transit. Reliance on public transit predicts a lack of regular care.90 Reduced-fare transit passes can help individuals with low
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84 Bierbaum, A. H., A. Karner, and J. M. Barajas. 2021. “Toward Mobility Justice: Linking Transportation and Education Equity in the Context of School Choice.” Journal of the American Planning Association 87(2):197–210. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2020.1803104.
85 Wallace, R., P. Hughes-Cromwick, H. Mull, and S. Khasnabis. 2005. “Access to Health Care and Nonemergency Medical Transportation: Two Missing Links.” Transportation Research Record 1924(1):76–84; Wolfe, M. K., N. C. McDonald, and G. M. Holmes. 2020. “Transportation Barriers to Health Care in the United States: Findings from the National Health Interview Survey, 1997–2017.” American Journal of Public Health 110(6):815–822. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2020.305579.
86 Transportation, a spatial factor in access to health care, affects the first two of the following five dimensions of health care access: availability, accessibility, affordability, acceptability, and accommodation (Penchansky, R., and J. W. Thomas. 1981. “The Concept of Access: Definition and Relationship to Consumer Satisfaction.” Medical Care 19(2):127–140. http://doi.org/10.1097/00005650-198102000-00001; Ye, H., and H. Kim. 2014. “Measuring Spatial Health Disparity Using a Network-Based Accessibility Index Method in a GIS Environment: A Case Study of Hillsborough County, Florida.” International Journal of Geospatial and Environmental Research 1(1):2. https://dc.uwm.edu/ijger/vol1/iss1/2. Accessed October 24, 2024).
87 Wolfe, M. K., N. C. McDonald, and G. M. Holmes. 2020. “Transportation Barriers to Health Care in the United States: Findings from the National Health Interview Survey, 1997–2017.” American Journal of Public Health 110(6):815–822. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2020.305579.
88 Syed, S. T., B. S. Gerber, and L. K. Sharp. 2013. “Traveling Towards Disease: Transportation Barriers to Health Care Access.” Journal of Community Health 38(5):976–993. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10900-013-9681-1.
89 Rosenblum, J. L. 2020. Expanding Access to the City: How Public Transit Fare Policy Shapes Travel Decision Making and Behavior of Low-Income Riders. Doctoral dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/127617. Accessed October 24, 2024.
90 Syed, S. T., B. S. Gerber, and L. K. Sharp. 2013. “Traveling Towards Disease: Transportation Barriers to Health Care Access.” Journal of Community Health 38(5):976–993. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10900-013-9681-1.
incomes reach medical appointments.91 Missing preventive care can lead to more costly health care visits92 and complicate health conditions, primarily by exacerbating health outcomes related to chronic disease.93 Those with the highest burden of disease are also those with the greatest transportation barriers. They are more likely to be older, poorer, less educated, female, people of color, or people with disabilities.94 Although the rates at which residents are able to access health care does not differ significantly between urban and rural populations,95 rural residents must travel longer distances to access care and cite gasoline prices as a transportation barrier.96
The statement of task for this study asks the study committee to identify data, analytic methods, and metrics associated with environmental justice and public health concerns. The committee selected three areas to examine—exposure to traffic violence, exposure to air pollution, and disparities in health outcomes associated with a physical activity—while recognizing that transportation also affects other environmental justice and health outcomes. For example, a lack of street trees is one factor that
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91 Rosenblum, J. L., 2020. Expanding Access to the City: How Public Transit Fare Policy Shapes Travel Decision Making and Behavior of Low-Income Riders. Doctoral dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/127617.
92 Coster, J. E., J. K. Turner, D. Bradbury, and A. Cantrell. 2017. “Why Do People Choose Emergency and Urgent Care Services? A Rapid Review Utilizing a Systematic Literature Search and Narrative Synthesis.” Academic Emergency Medicine 24(9):1137–1149. https://doi.org/10.1111/acem.13220.
93 Karter, A. J., M. M. Parker, and H. H. Moffet. 2004. “Missed Appointments and Poor Glycemic Control: An Opportunity to Identify High-Risk Diabetic Patients.” Medical Care 42(2):110–115; Salameh, E., S. Olsen, and D. Howard. 2012. “Nonattendance with Clinic Follow-Up Appointments: Diabetes as Exemplar.” Journal for Nurse Practitioners 8(10):797–803. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nurpra.2012.09.017; Syed, S. T., B. S. Gerber, and L. K. Sharp. 2013. “Traveling Towards Disease: Transportation Barriers to Health Care Access.” Journal of Community Health 38(5):976–993. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10900-013-9681-1.
94 Wallace, R., P. Hughes-Cromwick, H. Mull, and S. Khasnabis. 2005. “Access to Health Care and Nonemergency Medical Transportation: Two Missing Links.” Transportation Research Record 1924(1):76–84. https://doi.org/10.1177/0361198105192400110; Ng, A. E., D. Adjaye-Gbewonyo, and J. Dahlhamer. 2024. Lack of Reliable Transportation for Daily Living Among Adults: United States, 2022. National Center for Health Statistics, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, NCHS Data Brief. No. 490. https://doi.org/10.15620/cdc:135611.
95 Syed, S. T., B. S. Gerber, and L. K. Sharp. 2013. “Traveling Towards Disease: Transportation Barriers to Health Care Access.” Journal of Community Health 38(5):976–993. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10900-013-9681-1.
96 Akinlotan, M., K. Primm, N. Khodakarami, J. Bolin, and A. O. Ferdinand. 2021. “Rural-Urban Variations in Travel Burdens for Care: Findings from the 2017 National Household Travel Survey.” Policy Brief. Southwest Rural Health Research Center. https://srhrc.tamhsc.edu. Accessed October 24, 2024.
contributes to the urban heat island effect, resulting in increased heat exposure that disproportionately impacts residents in formerly redlined areas.97 Furthermore, climate change will exacerbate environmental justice issues that are already disproportionately borne by low-income communities and many communities of color. The exacerbation of environmental justice burdens created by climate change is not addressed here.
This section reviews the research literature establishing the connection between transportation investments and disparities in people’s experience of physical activity, traffic crashes, and air pollution. To the extent possible, this section also identifies the indicators used in the research literature to measure transportation’s contribution to societal outcomes in these domains. Table 2-2 illustrates transportation’s contributions to intermediate and long-term societal outcomes associated with these concerns. Table 2-2 is not intended to be comprehensive and does not identify the full causal chain for each issue.
Physical inactivity and sedentary behavior are risk factors for many kinds of chronic disease. Medical conditions associated with physical inactivity include type 2 diabetes, coronary heart disease, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, stroke, osteoporosis, breast cancer, colon cancer, and general premature mortality.98 Sedentary behavior, including driving,99 is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease100 and many other chronic diseases.101
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97 Hoffman, J. S., V. Shandas, and N. Pendleton. 2020. “The Effects of Historical Housing Policies on Resident Exposure to Intra-Urban Heat: A Study of 108 US Urban Areas.” Climate 8(1):12. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli8010012.
98 Lee, I.-M., E. J. Shiroma, R. L. F. Lobelo, P. Puska, S. N. Blair, and P. T. Katzmarzyk. 2012. “Impact of Physical Inactivity on the World’s Major Non-Communicable Diseases.” Lancet 380:219–229; McTiernan, A., C. M. Friedenreich, and P. T. Katzmarzyk. 2019. “Physical Activity in Cancer Prevention and Survival: A Systematic Review.” Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise 51(6):1252–1261.
99 Sugiyama, T., K. Wijndaele, M. J. Koohsari, S. K. Tanamas, D. W. Dunstan, and N. Owen. 2016. “Adverse Associations of Car Time with Markers of Cardio-Metabolic Risk.” Preventive Medicine 83:26–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.11.029.
100 Ford, E. S., and C. J. Caspersen. 2012. “Sedentary Behaviour and Cardiovascular Disease: A Review of Prospective Studies.” International Journal of Epidemiology 41(5):1338–1353. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dys078.
101 Patterson, R., E. McNamara, M. Tainio, T. Hérick de Sá, A. D. Smith, S. J. Sharp, P. Edwards, J. Woodcock, S. Brage, and K. Wijndaele. 2018. “Sedentary Behaviour and Risk of All-Cause, Cardiovascular and Cancer Mortality, and Incident Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Dose Response Meta-Analysis.” European Journal of Epidemiology 33(9):811–829. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-018-0380-1.
TABLE 2-2 Transportation’s Role in Selected Public Health and Environmental Justice Outcomes
| Domain | Transportation Input | Intermediate Outcomes | Long-Term Outcomes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chronic Disease (related to lack of physical activity) |
|
|
|
| Traffic Safety |
|
|
|
| Air Pollution |
|
|
|
| Mental Health |
|
|
|
NOTE: This table is not intended to be comprehensive and does not identify the full causal chain for each issue.
SOURCE: Committee analysis.
Driving is one of the top sedentary activities in the United States,102 and long commuting distances are associated with higher odds of physical inactivity103 and markers of cardiometabolic disease.104
Given the strength of the relationship between physical inactivity and many leading causes of death, such as diabetes and heart disease, it is possible to conceive physical inactivity as the actual cause of death.105 Adopting this social-ecological systems approach that considers the effects of biological, ecological, and social factors on population health106 is consistent with the causal chain approach employed by the study committee to understand transportation’s role in contributing to long-term quality-of-life outcomes. People of color are at a higher risk for chronic disease and are less likely to meet recommended physical activity levels.107 Poverty also correlates to low physical activity levels.108 Active transportation is recommended for increasing physical activity as it is relatively easy to incorporate it into daily
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102 Ford, E. S., and C. J. Caspersen. 2012. “Sedentary Behaviour and Cardiovascular Disease: A Review of Prospective Studies.” International Journal of Epidemiology 41(5):1338–1353. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dys078.
103 Raza, A., A. Pulakka, L. L. Magnusson Hanson, H. Westerlund, and J. I. Halonen. 2021. “Commuting Distance and Behavior-Related Health: A Longitudinal Study.” Preventive Medicine 150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2021.106665.
104 Sugiyama, T., K. Wijndaele, M. J. Koohsari, S. K. Tanamas, D. W. Dunstan, and N. Owen. 2016. “Adverse Associations of Car Time with Markers of Cardio-Metabolic Risk.” Preventive Medicine 83:26–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.11.029.
105 Botchwey, N. D., R. Falkenstein, J. Levin, T. Fisher, and M. Trowbridge. 2015. “The Built Environment and Actual Causes of Death: Promoting an Ecological Approach to Planning and Public Health.” Journal of Planning Literature 3(3):261–281. https://doi.org/10.1177/0885412214561337.
106 Ibid.
107 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. 2018. Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans (2nd edition). https://odphp.health.gov/sites/default/files/2019-09/Physical_Activity_Guidelines_2nd_edition.pdf.
108 Crespo, C. J., E. Smit, R. E. Andersen, O. Carter-Pokras, and B. E. Ainsworth. 2000. “Race/Ethnicity, Social Class and Their Relation to Physical Inactivity During Leisure Time: Results from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–1994.” American Journal of Preventive Medicine 18(1):46–53; Hawes, A. M., G. S. Smith, and E. McGinty. 2019. “Disentangling Race, Poverty, and Place in Disparities in Physical Activity.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 16(7):1193. http://doi.org/:10.3390/ijerph16071193; Lee, R. E, R. P. Joseph, L. T. Blackman Carr, S. M. Strayhorn, J. M. Faro, H. Lane, C. Monroe, D. Pekmezi, and J. Szeszulski. 2021. “Still Striding Toward Social Justice? Redirecting Physical Activity Research in a Post-COVID-19 World.” Translational Behavioral Medicine April:ibab026. https://doi.org/10.1093/tbm/ibab026.
life109 and infrastructure for walking, bicycling, and transit are associated with increased physical activity.110
However, areas with concentrations of low-income and Black and Hispanic populations are more likely to have incomplete and unsafe pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure.111 Interventions to improve active travel infrastructure may improve physical activity levels for low-income people and people of color, but whether and how new infrastructure improves health equity is not well understood.112 Concerns about harassment, intrapersonal violence, or disproportionate policing are also barriers for women and people of color in undertaking active transportation.113
In the past decade, traffic-related deaths and fatalities have become a worsening crisis in the United States. More than 42,000 people were killed on U.S. roadways in 2021, which is a 27% increase in fatalities over the past
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109 Office of the Surgeon General, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. 2015. “Step It Up! The Surgeon General’s Call to Action to Promote Walking and Walkable Communities [Internet].” https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30860691.
110 Community Preventive Services Task Force (CPSTF). 2018. “Physical Activity: Interventions to Increase Active Travel to School.” https://www.thecommunityguide.org/findings/physical-activity-interventions-increase-active-travel-school.html. Accessed October 24, 2023.
111 Ferenchak, N. N., and W. E. Marshall. 2020. “Is Bicycling Getting Safer? Bicycle Fatality Rates (1985–2017) Using Four Exposure Metrics.” Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives 8:100219; Thornton, C. M., T. L. Conway, K. L. Cain, K. A. Gavand, B. E. Saelens, L. D. Frank, C. M. Geremia, K. Glanz, A. C. King, and J. F. Sallis. 2016. “Disparities in Pedestrian Streetscape Environments by Income and Race/Ethnicity.” SSM-Population Health 2:206–216; Wang, Y., and M. A. Beydoun. 2007. “The Obesity Epidemic in the United States—Gender, Age, Socioeconomic, Racial/Ethnic, and Geographic Characteristics: A Systematic Review and Meta-Regression Analysis.” Epidemiologic Reviews 29:6–28.
112 Hansmann, K. J., M. Grabow, and C. McAndrews. 2022. “Health Equity and Active Transportation: A Scoping Review of Active Transportation Interventions and Their Impacts on Health Equity.” Journal of Transport & Health 25(June):101346. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2022.101346; Lusk, A. C., A. Anastasio, N. Shaffer, J. Wu, and Y. Li. 2017. “Biking Practices and Preferences in a Lower Income, Primarily Minority Neighborhood: Learning What Residents Want.” Preventive Medicine Reports 7(September):232–238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pmedr.2017.01.006.
113 Barajas, J. M. 2021. “The Roots of Racialized Travel Behavior.” Advances in Transport Policy and Planning 8: 1–31; Payán, D. D., D. C. Sloane, J. Illum, and L. Blair Lewis. 2019. “Intrapersonal and Environmental Barriers to Physical Activity Among Blacks and Latinos.” Journal of Nutrition Education and Behavior 51(4):478–485; Roberts, J. D., S. Mandic, C. S. Fryer, M. L. Brachman, and R. Ray. 2019. “Between Privilege and Oppression: An Intersectional Analysis of Active Transportation Experiences Among Washington DC Area Youth.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 16(8):1313; Sethi, S., and J. Velez-Duque. 2021. Walk with Women: Gendered Perceptions of Safety in Urban Spaces. Boston: Leading Cities.
10 years.114 Urban traffic fatalities increased by 66% from 2013 to 2022.115 The increased amount of time people spend commuting, owing to decentralized development patterns, increases their exposure to traffic crashes.116 Suburban sprawl, which results in higher speeds on suburban streets, is also a risk factor for fatal traffic crashes.117 Higher levels of vehicle traffic and high-speed arterials can be found in Census tracts with concentrations of low-income populations and Black, Indigenous, and people of color.118 These populations are also disproportionately represented in traffic injuries and fatalities, and American Indians/Alaska Natives (AIs/ANs) have the highest traffic fatality rate of all racial and ethnic groups.119
Pedestrian deaths have increased significantly, with 2022 having the highest number of pedestrian deaths since 1981.120 AI/AN, Black, and Hispanic populations are overrepresented in pedestrian deaths and injuries.121 Areas with lower incomes and higher poverty rates also have higher levels of pedestrian fatalities.122 In urban areas, pedestrian fatalities have increased 81% since 2013.123 Multilane arterials are particularly danger-
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114 National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). 2023. “Traffic Safety Facts 2021 Data: Summary of Motor Vehicle Crashes.”
115 NHTSA. 2024. “Traffic Safety Facts: Overview of Motor Vehicle Traffic Crashes in 2022.”
116 Weir, M., J., Weintraub, E. Humphreys, E. Seto, and R. Bhatia. 2009. “An Area-Level Model of Vehicle Pedestrian Injury Collisions with Implications for Land Use and Transportation Planning.” Accident Analysis and Prevention 41(1):137–145.
117 Ewing, R., S. Hamidi, and J. B. Grace. 2016. “Urban Sprawl as a Risk Factor in Motor Vehicle Crashes.” Urban Studies 53(2):247–266.
118 Governor’s Highway Safety Association (GHSA). 2021. “An Analysis of Traffic Fatalities by Race and Ethnicity.” https://www.ghsa.org/sites/default/files/2021-06/An%20Analysis%20of%20Traffic%20Fatalities%20by%20Race%20and%20Ethnicity_0.pdf.
119 Marshall, W. E., and N. N. Ferenchak. 2017. “Assessing Equity and Urban/Rural Road Safety Disparities in the US.” Journal of Urbanism: International Research on Placemaking and Urban Sustainability 10(4):422–441. https://doi.org/10.1080/17549175.2017.1310748 ;NHTSA. 2023. “Traffic Safety Facts 2020 Data: Race and Ethnicity”; GHSA. 2021. “An Analysis of Traffic Fatalities by Race and Ethnicity.” https://www.ghsa.org/sites/default/files/2021-06/An%20Analysis%20of%20Traffic%20Fatalities%20by%20Race%20and%20Ethnicity_0.pdf. Accessed October 24, 2024.
120 The most recent data presently available, GHSA. 2021. “An Analysis of Traffic Fatalities by Race and Ethnicity.” https://www.ghsa.org/sites/default/files/2021-06/An%20Analysis%20of%20Traffic%20Fatalities%20by%20Race%20and%20Ethnicity_0.pdf.
121 GHSA. 2021. “An Analysis of Traffic Fatalities by Race and Ethnicity.” https://www.ghsa.org/sites/default/files/2021-06/An%20Analysis%20of%20Traffic%20Fatalities%20by%20Race%20and%20Ethnicity_0.pdf. Accessed October 24, 2024; Roll, J., and N. McNeil. 2022. “Race and Income Disparities in Pedestrian Injuries: Factors Influencing Pedestrian Safety Inequity.” Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 107(June):103294. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2022.103294.
122 Roll, J., and N. McNeil. 2022. “Race and Income Disparities in Pedestrian Injuries: Factors Influencing Pedestrian Safety Inequity.” Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 107(June):103294.
123 NHTSA. 2023. “Traffic Safety Facts 2021 Data: Pedestrians.”
ous; an analysis of fatal pedestrian crash hotspots found that they occurred on multilane roadways, with 70% requiring pedestrians to cross five or more lanes of traffic.124 Traffic volumes, multilane streets, and shopping centers are associated with increased risk of pedestrian injury or death in low-income areas. However, they are not in more affluent areas where high-income individuals can avoid walking in dangerous environments to access essential destinations.125 More pedestrian fatalities occur in the dark as compared to other times of day,126 presenting an increased risk for pedestrians traveling at night, such as shift workers. Racial bias is another risk factor as people driving are less likely to yield to pedestrians of color.127
Losing a family member from a crash can impact family mental health and well-being in the long term.128 In addition to the mental and emotional stress, traffic fatalities can also mean a loss of a family wage earner or caregiver, which, among other stressors, can lead to residential relocation.129 Serious injuries are also associated with psychological trauma and reduced quality of life for the victim,130 potential loss of income for the household, increased health care costs, and increased burden of care by family members.131
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124 Schneider, R., R. L. Sanders, F. R. Proulx, and H. Moayyed. 2021. “United States Fatal Pedestrian Crash Hot Spot Locations and Characteristics.” Journal of Transportation and Land Use 14:1–23.
125 Dumbaugh, E., J. Stiles, D. Mitsova, and D. Saha. 2023. “The Most Vulnerable User: Examining the Role of Income, Race, and the Built Environment on Pedestrian Injuries and Deaths.” Transportation Research Record 2678(2).
126 NHTSA. 2023. “Traffic Safety Facts 2021 Data: Pedestrians.”
127 Coughenour, C., S. Clark, A. Singh, E. Claw, J. Abelar, and J. Huebner. 2017. “Examining Racial Bias as a Potential Factor in Pedestrian Crashes.” Accident Analysis & Prevention 98:96–100; Goddard, T., K. B. Kahn, and A. Adkins. 2014. “Racial Bias in Driver Yielding Behavior at Crosswalks.” https://doi.org/10.15760/trec.130.
128 Attwood, C., A. Benkwitz, and M. Holland. 2023. “‘We Are the Forgotten Grievers’: Bereaved Family Members’ Experiences of Support and Mental Ill-Health Following a Road Traffic Collision.” Death Studies 47(9):1025–1032. https://doi.org/10.1080/07481187.2022.2160032.
129 Huang, L. 2016. “Identifying Risk Factors for Household Burdens of Road Traffic Fatalities: Regression Results from a Cross-Sectional Survey in Taiwan.” BMC Public Health 16(1):1202. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-016-3813-3.
130 Rissanen, R., H.-Y. Berg, and M. Hasselberg. 2017. “Quality of Life Following Road Traffic Injury: A Systematic Literature Review.” Accident Analysis & Prevention 108(November):308–320. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2017.09.013; Wang, C.-H., S.-L. Tsay, and A. E. Bond. 2005. “Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder, Depression, Anxiety and Quality of Life in Patients with Traffic-Related Injuries.” Journal of Advanced Nursing 52(1):22–30. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2648.2005.03560.x.
131 NHTSA. 2019. “The Economic and Societal Impact of Motor Vehicle Crashes, 2019 (Revised).” https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/813403. Accessed October 24, 2024.
A systematic review and meta-analysis found that long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution is associated with adverse health outcomes including circulatory disease, coronary heart disease, and lung cancer mortality. It is also associated with asthma onset in children and adults as well as acute respiratory infections in children. Particulate matter that is 2.5 micrometers or less in diameter (PM2.5) is associated with low birth weight.132 Low-income individuals and people of color are more likely to experience these adverse health outcomes. Black and Hispanic people are more likely to have asthma, have higher hospitalization rates as a result of asthma, and are more likely to die from asthma.133 Black and Hispanic children are also more likely to experience asthma.134 Black and Hispanic mothers are at greater risk for adverse health outcomes caused by air pollution.135 The increase in air pollution associated with climate change is likely to exacerbate adverse birth outcomes.136
These health disparities relate to differential conditions in the built environment. People of color are disproportionately exposed to PM2.5. Two of the largest absolute exposure disparities are transportation related: light-duty gasoline vehicles and heavy-duty diesel vehicles.137 Higher-poverty
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132 Health Effects Institute (HEI). 2022. “Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Selected Health Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Traffic-Related Air Pollution.” HEI Special Report 23, Panel on the Health Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Traffic-Related Air Pollution, updated April 5, 2023. https://www.healtheffects.org/publication/systematic-review-and-meta-analysis-selected-health-effects-long-term-exposure-traffic.
133 Asthma and Allergy Foundation of America. 2020. “2020 Asthma Disparities in America: A Roadmap to Reducing Burden on Racial and Ethnic Minorities.” https://www.aafa.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/asthma-disparities-in-america-burden-on-racial-ethnic-minorities.pdf. Accessed October 24, 2024.
134 Commodore, S., P. L. Ferguson, B. Neelon, R. Newman, W. Grobman, A. Tita, J. Pearce, M. S. Bloom, E. Svendsen, J. Roberts, D. Skupski, A. Sciscione, K. Palomares, R. Miller, R. Wapner, J. E. Vena, and K. J. Hunt. 2021. “Reported Neighborhood Traffic and the Odds of Asthma/Asthma-Like Symptoms: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of a Multi-Racial Cohort of Children.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18(1):243. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18010243.
135 Gray, S. C., S. E. Edwards, B. D. Schultz, and M. L. Miranda. 2014. “Assessing the Impact of Race, Social Factors and Air Pollution on Birth Outcomes: A Population-Based Study.” Environmental Health 13(1):4. https://doi.org/10.1186/1476-069X-13-4.
136 Bekkar, B., S. Pacheco, R. Basu, and N. DeNicola. 2020. “Association of Air Pollution and Heat Exposure with Preterm Birth, Low Birth Weight, and Stillbirth in the US: A Systematic Review.” JAMA Network Open 3(6):e208243. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.8243.
137 Tessum, C. W., J. S. Apte, A. L. Goodkind, N. Z. Muller, K. A. Mullins, D. A. Paolella, S. Polasky, N. P. Springer, S. K. Thakrar, J. D. Marshall, and J. D. Hill. 2019. “Inequity in Consumption of Goods and Services Adds to Racial–Ethnic Disparities in Air Pollution Exposure.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116(13):6001–6006. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1818859116.
areas are also disproportionately exposed to air pollution from traffic. High traffic volumes are a significant source of traffic-related air pollution and are a barrier to walking and cycling as well.138 The number of people living near high-volume roads has increased to 24% from 19% in 2010. Nonwhite populations live in greater proximity to high-volume roads.139 Differences in air pollution exposure between racial and ethnic minorities and whites are highest in the most segregated metropolitan areas.140
Transportation affects health primarily through three pathways: exposures, social exclusion, and behavior.141 Exposure to traffic noise is not only associated with diseases such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes142 but also associated with a higher risk of dementia.143 Depression has a socioeconomic gradient and appears related to environmental exposures, such as socioeconomic stressors and protective social ties.144 Transportation can promote or prevent social interaction through public social spaces and walkability.145 Accessible and affordable transportation reduces social
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138 Rosenlieb, E. G., C. McAndrews, W. E. Marshall, and A. Troy. 2018. “Urban Development Patterns and Exposure to Hazardous and Protective Traffic Environments.” Journal of Transport Geography 66(January):125–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2017.11.014.
139 Antonczak, B., T. M. Thompson, M. W. DePaola, and G. Rowangould. 2023. “2020 Near-Roadway Population Census, Traffic Exposure and Equity in the United States.” Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 125(December):103965. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2023.103965.
140 Woo, B., N. Kravitz-Wirtz, V. Sass, K. Crowder, S. Teixeira, and D. T. Takeuchi. 2019. “Residential Segregation and Racial/Ethnic Disparities in Ambient Air Pollution.” Race and Social Problems 11(1):60–67. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12552-018-9254-0.
141 Fan, Y., and P. Phua. 2020. The Health and Transportation Nexus: A Conceptual Framework for Collaborative and Equitable Planning. Prepared for Minnesota Department of Transportation, Office of Research & Innovation. https://cts-d8resmod-prd.oit.umn.edu/pdf/trs2201.pdf. Accessed November 24, 2024.
142 Frank, L. D., N. Iroz-Elardo, K. E. MacLeod, and A. Hong. 2019. “Pathways from Built Environment to Health: A Conceptual Framework Linking Behavior and Exposure-Based Impacts.” Journal of Transport & Health 12:319–335. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2018.11.008.
143 Cantuaria, M. L., F. B. Waldorff, L. Wermuth, et al. 2021. “Residential Exposure to Transportation Noise in Denmark and Incidence of Dementia: National Cohort Study.” BMJ 374(1954). https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n1954.
144 Blair, A., N. A. Ross, G. Gariepy, and N. Schmitz. 2014. “How Do Neighborhoods Affect Depression Outcomes? A Realist Review and a Call for the Examination of Causal Pathways.” Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology 49(6):873–887. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00127-013-0810-z.
145 Frank, L. D., N. Iroz-Elardo, K. E. MacLeod, and A. Hong. 2019. “Pathways from Built Environment to Health: A Conceptual Framework Linking Behavior and Exposure-Based Impacts.” Journal of Transport & Health 12:319–335. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2018.11.008.
isolation and social exclusion.146 Social exclusion is a multidimensional concept that encompasses the physical, geographic, or cost barriers to destinations such as employment as well as barriers to social opportunities.147 In addition, social exclusion addresses an individual’s ability to participate in transportation decision making.148 In terms of behavior, physical activity in transportation may be protective against adverse mental health outcomes, with research suggesting a moderate benefit for well-being, particularly for walking, bicycling, and transit trips.149 In a study that employed structural equation modeling, walkable neighborhoods were directly linked to happiness in individuals aged 36–45 and indirectly linked to happiness for older adults.150
Transportation equity is best understood in the context of transportation’s role in desired outcomes within a larger societal system. A growing body of research shows that access to housing, employment, education, and health care and health services are affected by transportation, particularly for disadvantaged populations. Research on environmental justice and public health establishes connections between transportation and physical activity and associated health outcomes, transportation safety and personal security, and exposure to air pollution and health effects. As illustrated in the chapter, the research base supports the development of more insightful and useful metrics and tools for assessing equity impacts of transportation.
Causal chain analysis, a logic model approach that is used in health and safety research, as well as in other fields, could help to identify root causes and multiple contributors to an identified need or desired outcome. This type of analysis enables seeing beyond proximate causes, which can
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146 Frank, L. D., N. Iroz-Elardo, K. E. MacLeod, and A. Hong. 2019. “Pathways from Built Environment to Health: A Conceptual Framework Linking Behavior and Exposure-Based Impacts.” Journal of Transport & Health 12:319–335. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2018.11.008.
147 Lucas, K. 2012. “Transport and Social Exclusion: Where Are We Now?” Transport Policy 20:105–113.
148 Fan, Y., and P. Phua. 2020. The Health and Transportation Nexus: A Conceptual Framework for Collaborative and Equitable Planning. Prepared for Minnesota Department of Transportation, Office of Research & Innovation. https://cts-d8resmod-prd.oit.umn.edu/pdf/trs2201.pdf. Accessed November 24, 2024.
149 Scrivano, L., A. Tessari, S. M. Marcora, and D. N. Manners. 2023. “Active Mobility and Mental Health: A Scoping Review Towards a Healthier World.” Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health 11:e1. https://doi.org/10.1017/gmh.2023.74.
150 Leyden, K. M., M. J. Hogan, L. D’Arcy, B. Bunting, and S. Bierema. 2023. “Walkable Neighborhoods: Linkages Between Place, Health, and Happiness in Younger and Older Adults.” Journal of the American Planning Association 90(1):101–114. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2022.2123382.
mislead about the best ways to intervene. Analyzing deeper causal pathways can reveal other causes of a problem or need for which innovative solutions can be identified from the varied perspectives of urban planners, engineers, and community members. Tables 2-1 and 2-2 illustrate links in the causal chain between transportation actions and long-term outcomes. As such, they offer a starting point for agencies to develop their own set of indicators and metrics for their communities. The characteristics that make a useful indicator are discussed in Chapter 3. An even deeper understanding of the causal connections between transportation and desired outcomes through research would further inform the selection of indicators and metrics for planning and prioritization of transportation investments for people’s well-being.
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